MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
HRV Croatia HNL · Fixture ·

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.13 expected goals
Away form
Home win17%
Draw23%
Away win60%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win60% selection probability
Projected score1–2Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Expected goals3.13Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 23% / 60%Match resultAway win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Istra 1961 win (17.4%)Double chanceX282.6%1.21
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
3.13 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDinamo Zagreb winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Istra 1961 win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Dinamo Zagreb win60%1.671.5358.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istra 19610.80

Home share of expected goals 25.6%

Total expected goals3.13Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Dinamo Zagreb2.33

Away share of expected goals 74.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Istra 1961

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dinamo Zagreb

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Win probability excluding draw
60%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.80
Expected goals
2.33
Istra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istra 1961 signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dinamo Zagreb signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istra 1961 win 17%,Draw 23%,Dinamo Zagreb win 60%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over