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HRV Croatia HNL · Fixture ·

NK Varazdin vs NK Rudes

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.80 expected goals
Away form
Home win66%
Draw21%
Away win13%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 66% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win66% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK VarazdinNK Rudes
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 21% / 13%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes NK Rudes win (12.7%)Double chance1X87.3%1.15
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Varazdin win66%1.521.3368.4%
Draw21%4.764.5020.2%
NK Rudes win13%7.698.0011.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Varazdin1.89

Home share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

NK Rudes0.91

Away share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

NK Varazdin

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

NK Rudes

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.89
Expected goals
0.91
NK VarazdinNK Rudes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Varazdin signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Rudes signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

NK Varazdin vs NK Rudes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Varazdin win 66%,Draw 21%,NK Rudes win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over