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SWE Sverige - Div 2 Västra Götaland · Match ·

Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–24.74 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger25%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score3–2Västra Frölunda IFHestrafors IF
Expected goals4.74Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över85% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa81% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 22% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.1%)Dubbelchans1277.9%1.28
Över 85% · Under 15%Goals 2.5Över85%1.18
Ja 81% · Nej 19%Båda lagen gör målJa81%1.23
4.74 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Västra Frölunda IF win53%1.891.7052.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Hestrafors IF win25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Västra Frölunda IF2.70

Hemma share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals4.74Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 85% · Under 15%

Hestrafors IF2.04

Borta share of expected goals 43%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 81% · Nej 19%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Västra Frölunda IF

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Hestrafors IF

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
10
2.70
Expected goals
2.04
Västra Frölunda IFHestrafors IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Västra Frölunda IF signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hestrafors IF signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Västra Frölunda IF vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 22%,Hestrafors IF vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.74 · Över 2.5 85% · Current selection Över