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SWE Sverige - 2. div. Västra Götaland · Kamp ·

Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–24.74 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr53%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr25%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr53% selection probability
Projected score3–2Västra Frölunda IFHestrafors IF
Expected goals4.74Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over85% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa81% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
53% / 22% / 25%KampresultatHjemmesejr53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.1%)Dobbeltchance1277.9%1.28
Over 85% · Under 15%Goals 2.5Over85%1.18
Ja 81% · Nej 19%Begge hold scorerJa81%1.23
4.74 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Västra Frölunda IF win53%1.891.7052.7%+0.3 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Hestrafors IF win25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Västra Frölunda IF2.70

Hjemme share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals4.74Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 85% · Under 15%

Hestrafors IF2.04

Ude share of expected goals 43%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 81% · Nej 19%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Västra Frölunda IF

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hestrafors IF

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vundet probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
10
2.70
Expected goals
2.04
Västra Frölunda IFHestrafors IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Västra Frölunda IF signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hestrafors IF signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Västra Frölunda IF vs Hestrafors IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Västra Frölunda IF vundet 53%,Uafgjort 22%,Hestrafors IF vundet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.74 · Over 2.5 85% · Current selection Over