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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Match ·

Modbury Jets Reserves vs Adelaide Cobras reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Modbury Jets ReservesAdelaide Cobras reserver
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 26% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Cobras reserver win (25.7%)Dubbelchans1X74.3%1.35
Över 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Över59%1.69
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Båda lagen gör målJa58%1.72
3.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Modbury Jets Reserves win48%2.08
Oavgjort26%3.85
Adelaide Cobras reserver win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modbury Jets Reserves1.90

Hemma share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 59% · Under 41%

Adelaide Cobras reserver1.14

Borta share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Modbury Jets Reserves

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Adelaide Cobras reserver

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.90
Expected goals
1.14
Modbury Jets ReservesAdelaide Cobras reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modbury Jets Reserves signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Cobras reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Modbury Jets Reserves vs Adelaide Cobras reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modbury Jets Reserves vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 26%,Adelaide Cobras reserver vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Över 2.5 59% · Current selection Över