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AUS Australia South Australia State League Reserves · Partita ·

Modbury Jets Reserves vs Adelaide Cobras riserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Modbury Jets ReservesAdelaide Cobras riserve
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 26% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Cobras riserve win (25.6%)Doppia Chance1X74.4%1.34
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnano58%1.72
3.04 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Modbury Jets Reserves win48%2.08
Pareggio26%3.85
Adelaide Cobras riserve win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modbury Jets Reserves1.91

Casa share of expected goals 62.8%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%

Adelaide Cobras riserve1.13

Trasferta share of expected goals 37.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Modbury Jets Reserves

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Adelaide Cobras riserve

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.91
Expected goals
1.13
Modbury Jets ReservesAdelaide Cobras riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modbury Jets Reserves signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Cobras riserve signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Modbury Jets Reserves vs Adelaide Cobras riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modbury Jets Reserves vinta 48%,Pareggio 26%,Adelaide Cobras riserve vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra