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DNK Danmark - Division 3 · Match ·

Vanløse vs Naesby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.74 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger29%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger43%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–2VanløseNaesby
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
29% / 28% / 43%MatchresultatBortaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Dubbelchans1271.9%1.39
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Vanløse win29%3.45
Oavgjort28%3.57
Naesby win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vanløse1.15

Hemma share of expected goals 42%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

Naesby1.59

Borta share of expected goals 58%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Vanløse

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Naesby

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalBorta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
43%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.15
Expected goals
1.59
VanløseNaesby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vanløse signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naesby signalBorta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vanløse vs Naesby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vanløse vunnen 29%,Oavgjort 28%,Naesby vunnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över