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DNK Danemark - Division 3 · Match ·

Vanlose vs Næsby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.74 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile29%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–2VanloseNæsby
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
29% / 28% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Double chance1271.7%1.39
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Vanlose win29%3.45
Nul28%3.57
Næsby win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vanlose1.15

Domicile share of expected goals 42%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

Næsby1.59

Extérieur share of expected goals 58%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Vanlose

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Næsby

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.15
Expected goals
1.59
VanloseNæsby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vanlose signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Næsby signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vanlose vs Næsby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vanlose victoire 29%,Nul 28%,Næsby victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de