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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Monza vs Padova

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger62%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger19%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger62% selection probability
Projected score2–1MonzaPadova
Expected goals3.32Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
62% / 20% / 19%MatchresultatHemmaseger62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Padova win (18.6%)Dubbelchans1X81.4%1.23
Över 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Över65%1.54
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Båda lagen gör målJa63%1.59
3.32 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monza win62%1.611.4463.4%
Oavgjort20%5.004.7519.2%
Padova win19%5.265.2517.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monza2.09

Hemma share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals3.32Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 65% · Under 35%

Padova1.23

Borta share of expected goals 37%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Monza

1.33pts / match
Spelade3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Poäng4

SignalNej recent signal

Borta-context · form sequence

Padova

1.50pts / match
Spelade2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Poäng3

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.09
Expected goals
1.23
MonzaPadova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monza signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Padova signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Monza vs Padova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monza vunnen 62%,Oavgjort 20%,Padova vunnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Över 2.5 65% · Current selection Över