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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Monza vs Padova

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst62%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst19%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst62% selection probability
Projected score2–1MonzaPadova
Expected goals3.32Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
62% / 20% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Padova win (18.6%)Dubbele Kans1X81.4%1.23
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.32 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monza win62%1.611.4463.4%
Gelijkspel20%5.004.7519.2%
Padova win19%5.265.2517.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Monza2.09

Thuis share of expected goals 63%

Total expected goals3.32Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Padova1.23

Uit share of expected goals 37%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Monza

1.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punten4

SignalNee recent signal

Uit-context · form sequence

Padova

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punten3

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.09
Expected goals
1.23
MonzaPadova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Monza signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Padova signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Monza vs Padova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Monza gewonnen 62%,Gelijkspel 20%,Padova gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven