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AUS Australien - South Australia State League 1 · Match ·

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.37 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger74%
Oavgjort16%
Bortaseger10%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger74% selection probability
Projected score3–1Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Expected goals3.37Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
74% / 16% / 10%MatchresultatHemmaseger74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Cobras win (10.1%)Dubbelchans1X89.9%1.11
Över 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Över65%1.54
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
3.37 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapModbury Jets winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modbury Jets win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp
Oavgjort16%6.255.5016.2%-0.2 pp
Adelaide Cobras win10%10.008.5010.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modbury Jets2.73

Hemma share of expected goals 81%

Total expected goals3.37Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 65% · Under 35%

Adelaide Cobras0.64

Borta share of expected goals 19%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Modbury Jets

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Adelaide Cobras

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.73
Expected goals
0.64
Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modbury Jets signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Cobras signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modbury Jets vunnen 74%,Oavgjort 16%,Adelaide Cobras vunnen 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Över 2.5 65% · Current selection Över