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AUS Australia - South Australia State League 1 · Partita ·

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.37 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa74%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite10%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa74% selection probability
Projected score3–1Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Expected goals3.37Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra65% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
74% / 16% / 10%Esito partitaVittoria casa74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Cobras win (10.1%)Doppia Chance1X89.9%1.11
Sopra 65% · Sotto 35%Goals 2.5Sopra65%1.54
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
3.37 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapModbury Jets winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modbury Jets win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp
Pareggio16%6.255.5016.2%-0.2 pp
Adelaide Cobras win10%10.008.5010.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modbury Jets2.73

Casa share of expected goals 81%

Total expected goals3.37Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 65% · Sotto 35%

Adelaide Cobras0.64

Trasferta share of expected goals 19%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Modbury Jets

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Adelaide Cobras

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Vinta probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.73
Expected goals
0.64
Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modbury Jets signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Cobras signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modbury Jets vinta 74%,Pareggio 16%,Adelaide Cobras vinta 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Sopra 2.5 65% · Current selection Sopra