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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Match ·

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger26%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 49% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeArarat Armenia
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 25% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbelchans1275.3%1.33
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
NK Celje win49%2.04
Oavgjort25%4.00
Ararat Armenia win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.62

Hemma share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%

Ararat Armenia1.10

Borta share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Poäng4

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Ararat Armenia

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.62
Expected goals
1.10
NK CeljeArarat Armenia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ararat Armenia signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 25%,Ararat Armenia vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över