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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Match ·

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile65%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur13%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 65% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile65% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeArarat Armenia
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
65% / 21% / 13%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ararat Armenia win (13.5%)Double chance1X86.5%1.16
Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%Goals 2.5Plus de53%1.89
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.78 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje win65%1.541.4066.8%
Nul21%4.764.5020.8%
Ararat Armenia win13%7.697.5012.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.89

Domicile share of expected goals 68%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%

Ararat Armenia0.89

Extérieur share of expected goals 32%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Ararat Armenia

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gagné probability excluding draw
13%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.89
Expected goals
0.89
NK CeljeArarat Armenia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ararat Armenia signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje victoire 65%,Nul 21%,Ararat Armenia victoire 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Plus de 2.5 53% · Current selection Plus de