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ISL Island - Premier League · Final ·

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score4–4Prognos 2–2
Borta form
Hemmaseger41%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals3.68Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över71% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
41% / 26% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dubbelchans1274.5%1.34
Över 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Över71%1.41
Ja 71% · Nej 29%Båda lagen gör målJa71%1.41
3.68 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
12.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Valur Reykjavik win41%2.44
Oavgjort26%3.85
KA Akureyri win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valur Reykjavik1.99

Hemma share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.68Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 71% · Under 29%

KA Akureyri1.69

Borta share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nej 29%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
1.69
Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valur Reykjavik signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valur Reykjavik vunnen 41%,Oavgjort 26%,KA Akureyri vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Över 2.5 71% · Current selection Över