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ISL Islanda - Premier League · Final ·

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score4–4Pronostico 2–2
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals3.68Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 26% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doppia Chance1274.5%1.34
Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%Goals 2.5Sopra71%1.41
Sì 71% · No 29%Entrambe le squadre segnano71%1.41
3.68 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
12.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Valur Reykjavik win41%2.44
Pareggio26%3.85
KA Akureyri win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valur Reykjavik1.99

Casa share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.68Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%

KA Akureyri1.69

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
1.69
Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valur Reykjavik signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valur Reykjavik vinta 41%,Pareggio 26%,KA Akureyri vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Sopra 2.5 71% · Current selection Sopra