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ISL Islandia - Premier League · Final ·

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Prediction review

Local form
Final score4–4Pronóstico 2–2
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals3.68Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de71% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 26% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doble Oportunidad1274.5%1.34
Más de 71% · Menos de 29%Goals 2.5Más de71%1.41
Sí 71% · No 29%Ambos equipos marcan71%1.41
3.68 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
12.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Valur Reykjavik win41%2.44
Empate26%3.85
KA Akureyri win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valur Reykjavik1.99

Local share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.68Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 71% · Menos de 29%

KA Akureyri1.69

Visitante share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
1.69
Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valur Reykjavik signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valur Reykjavik ganada 41%,Empate 26%,KA Akureyri ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Más de 2.5 71% · Current selection Más de