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ISL Island - Premier League · Final ·

Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score3–1Prognos 3–2
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score3–2Fram ReykjavikStjarnan
Expected goals4.33Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över81% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa77% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 24% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dubbelchans1276.2%1.31
Över 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Över81%1.23
Ja 77% · Nej 23%Båda lagen gör målJa77%1.30
4.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
12.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFram Reykjavik winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram Reykjavik win44%2.272.1042.6%+1.4 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Stjarnan win33%3.032.7033.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik2.57

Hemma share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals4.33Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 81% · Under 19%

Stjarnan1.76

Borta share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 77% · Nej 23%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.57
Expected goals
1.76
Fram ReykjavikStjarnan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stjarnan signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 24%,Stjarnan vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Över 2.5 81% · Current selection Över