Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 24% / 33%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Double chance1276.2%1.31
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 77% · No 23%Both teams scoreYes77%1.30
4.33 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2——
12.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFram Reykjavik winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram Reykjavik win44%2.272.1042.6%+1.4 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Stjarnan win33%3.032.7033.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals4.33Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%
Away share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 77% · No 23%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFram Reykjavik
LWDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchStjarnan
WWLLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
33%10
Points from supplied form
92.57
Expected goals
1.76Fram ReykjavikStjarnan
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Fram Reykjavik win 44%，Draw 24%，Stjarnan win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.33 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over。