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SWE Sverige - Div 2 Södra Götaland · Match ·

Staffanstorp United vs Lilla Torg FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger47%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Staffanstorp UnitedLilla Torg FF
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
47% / 25% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbelchans1275.3%1.33
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Båda lagen gör målJa58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapStaffanstorp United winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Staffanstorp United win47%2.131.9146.6%+0.4 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Lilla Torg FF win29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Staffanstorp United1.68

Hemma share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Lilla Torg FF1.24

Borta share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Staffanstorp United

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lilla Torg FF

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.68
Expected goals
1.24
Staffanstorp UnitedLilla Torg FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Staffanstorp United signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lilla Torg FF signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Staffanstorp United vs Lilla Torg FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Staffanstorp United vunnen 47%,Oavgjort 25%,Lilla Torg FF vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över