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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.41 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger54%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger54% selection probability
Projected score2–1JDFS AlbertsRiga FC II
Expected goals3.41Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
54% / 22% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Dubbelchans1277.7%1.29
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Båda lagen gör målJa64%1.56
3.41 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JDFS Alberts win54%1.851.6753.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Riga FC II win24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JDFS Alberts2.14

Hemma share of expected goals 62.8%

Total expected goals3.41Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

Riga FC II1.27

Borta share of expected goals 37.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

JDFS Alberts

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Riga FC II

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.14
Expected goals
1.27
JDFS AlbertsRiga FC II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JDFS Alberts signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Riga FC II signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JDFS Alberts vunnen 54%,Oavgjort 22%,Riga FC II vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.41 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över