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SWE Sverige - Damallsvenskan · Match ·

Malmö FF (D) vs Hammarby (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger25%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger44%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Malmö FF (D)Hammarby (D)
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
25% / 32% / 44%MatchresultatBortaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malmö FF (D) win (24.7%)DubbelchansX275.3%1.33
Över 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Båda lagen gör målNej62%1.61
2.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Malmö FF (D) win25%4.00
Oavgjort32%3.13
Hammarby (D) win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malmö FF (D)0.73

Hemma share of expected goals 36.5%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 32% · Under 68%

Hammarby (D)1.27

Borta share of expected goals 63.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Malmö FF (D)

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Hammarby (D)

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
44%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.73
Expected goals
1.27
Malmö FF (D)Hammarby (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malmö FF (D) signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hammarby (D) signalHemma clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Malmö FF (D) vs Hammarby (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malmö FF (D) vunnen 25%,Oavgjort 32%,Hammarby (D) vunnen 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Över 2.5 32% · Current selection Under