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Malmo FF (W) vs Hammarby (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier25%
Uavgjort32%
Borteseier44%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Malmo FF (W)Hammarby (W)
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
25% / 32% / 44%KampresultatBorteseier44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malmo FF (W) win (24.7%)Dobbel sjanseX275.3%1.33
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 38% · Nei 62%Begge lag scorerNei62%1.61
2.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Malmo FF (W) win25%4.00
Uavgjort32%3.13
Hammarby (W) win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malmo FF (W)0.73

Hjemme share of expected goals 36.5%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Hammarby (W)1.27

Borte share of expected goals 63.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nei 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Malmo FF (W)

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Hammarby (W)

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
44%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.73
Expected goals
1.27
Malmo FF (W)Hammarby (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malmo FF (W) signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hammarby (W) signalHjemme clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Malmo FF (W) vs Hammarby (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malmo FF (W) vunnet 25%,Uavgjort 32%,Hammarby (W) vunnet 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under