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SWE Svezia - Damallsvenskan · Partita ·

Malmo FF (F) vs Hammarby (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite44%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Malmo FF (F)Hammarby (F)
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto68% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 32% / 44%Esito partitaVittoria ospite44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malmo FF (F) win (24.7%)Doppia ChanceX275.3%1.33
Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%Goals 2.5Sotto68%1.47
Sì 38% · No 62%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62%1.61
2.00 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Malmo FF (F) win25%4.00
Pareggio32%3.13
Hammarby (F) win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malmo FF (F)0.73

Casa share of expected goals 36.5%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%

Hammarby (F)1.27

Trasferta share of expected goals 63.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Malmo FF (F)

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Hammarby (F)

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
44%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.73
Expected goals
1.27
Malmo FF (F)Hammarby (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malmo FF (F) signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hammarby (F) signalCasa clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Malmo FF (F) vs Hammarby (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malmo FF (F) vinta 25%,Pareggio 32%,Hammarby (F) vinta 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Sopra 2.5 32% · Current selection Sotto