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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 6 · Final ·

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score3–0Prognos 3–2
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger42%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger42% selection probability
Projected score3–2FramSarpsborg 2
Expected goals4.84Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över86% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa80% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 20% / 42%MatchresultatBortaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.8%)Dubbelchans1280.2%1.25
Över 86% · Under 14%Goals 2.5Över86%1.16
Ja 80% · Nej 20%Båda lagen gör målJa80%1.25
4.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–2
8.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference-2.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram win38%2.632.5035.6%+2.4 pp
Oavgjort20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
Sarpsborg 2 win42%2.382.0044.6%-2.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram3.03

Hemma share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals4.84Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 86% · Under 14%

Sarpsborg 21.81

Borta share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 80% · Nej 20%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Fram

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg 2

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
7
3.03
Expected goals
1.81
FramSarpsborg 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg 2 signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 3–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 20%,Sarpsborg 2 vunnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.84 · Över 2.5 86% · Current selection Över