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NOR Noorwegen - 3. divisjon - Groep 6 · Final ·

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–0Voorspelling 3–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst42%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score3–2FramSarpsborg 2
Expected goals4.84Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven86% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa80% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 20% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.8%)Dubbele Kans1280.2%1.25
Boven 86% · Onder 14%Goals 2.5Boven86%1.16
Ja 80% · Nee 20%Beide teams scorenJa80%1.25
4.84 total expected goalsExacte score3–2
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference-2.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram win38%2.632.5035.6%+2.4 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
Sarpsborg 2 win42%2.382.0044.6%-2.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram3.03

Thuis share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals4.84Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 86% · Onder 14%

Sarpsborg 21.81

Uit share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 80% · Nee 20%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Fram

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg 2

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
7
3.03
Expected goals
1.81
FramSarpsborg 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg 2 signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 3–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 20%,Sarpsborg 2 gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.84 · Boven 2.5 86% · Current selection Boven