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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 6 · Final ·

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score3–0Pronostic 3–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur42%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur42% selection probability
Projected score3–2FramSarpsborg 2
Expected goals4.84Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de86% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui80% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 20% / 42%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.8%)Double chance1280.2%1.25
Plus de 86% · Moins de 14%Goals 2.5Plus de86%1.16
Oui 80% · Non 20%Les deux équipes marquentOui80%1.25
4.84 total expected goalsScore exact3–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference-2.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram win38%2.632.5035.6%+2.4 pp
Nul20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
Sarpsborg 2 win42%2.382.0044.6%-2.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram3.03

Domicile share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals4.84Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 86% · Moins de 14%

Sarpsborg 21.81

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitOui 80% · Non 20%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Fram

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg 2

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
7
3.03
Expected goals
1.81
FramSarpsborg 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg 2 signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 3–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram victoire 38%,Nul 20%,Sarpsborg 2 victoire 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.84 · Plus de 2.5 86% · Current selection Plus de