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NOR Norvégia - 3. osztály - 6. csoport · Final ·

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score3–0Előrejelzés 3–2
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem38%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem42%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Vesztett
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem42% selection probability
Projected score3–2FramSarpsborg 2
Expected goals4.84Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett86% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen80% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
38% / 20% / 42%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.8%)Dupla esély1280.2%1.25
Felett 86% · Alatt 14%Goals 2.5Felett86%1.16
Igen 80% · Nem 20%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen80%1.25
4.84 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–2
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSarpsborg 2 winDifference-2.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram win38%2.632.5035.6%+2.4 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp
Sarpsborg 2 win42%2.382.0044.6%-2.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram3.03

Hazai share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals4.84Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 86% · Alatt 14%

Sarpsborg 21.81

Vendég share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitIgen 80% · Nem 20%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Fram

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg 2

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Nyert probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
7
3.03
Expected goals
1.81
FramSarpsborg 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg 2 signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram vs Sarpsborg 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 3–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram nyer 38%,Döntetlen 20%,Sarpsborg 2 nyer 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.84 · 2.5 felett 86% · Current selection Felett