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NLD Nederländerna - Eredivisie · Match ·

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.95 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger21%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger57%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger57% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
21% / 23% / 57%MatchresultatBortaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (20.5%)DubbelchansX279.5%1.26
Över 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Över57%1.75
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
2.95 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapSparta Rotterdam winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sparta Rotterdam win21%4.764.6020.6%+0.4 pp
Oavgjort23%4.354.2022.6%+0.4 pp
Feyenoord win57%1.751.6756.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Rotterdam1.03

Hemma share of expected goals 34.9%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 57% · Under 43%

Feyenoord1.92

Borta share of expected goals 65.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Feyenoord

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
57%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.03
Expected goals
1.92
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Rotterdam signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Feyenoord signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Rotterdam vunnen 21%,Oavgjort 23%,Feyenoord vunnen 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Över 2.5 57% · Current selection Över