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NLD Nederländerna - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

FC Den Bosch vs Vitesse

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger37%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger37%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger37% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Den BoschVitesse
Expected goals3.31Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
37% / 27% / 37%MatchresultatHemmaseger37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbelchans1273.4%1.36
Över 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Över64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Båda lagen gör målJa66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Den Bosch win37%2.70
Oavgjort27%3.70
Vitesse win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Den Bosch1.66

Hemma share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals3.31Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 64% · Under 36%

Vitesse1.65

Borta share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Den Bosch

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Vitesse

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.66
Expected goals
1.65
FC Den BoschVitesse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Den Bosch signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitesse signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Den Bosch vs Vitesse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Den Bosch vunnen 37%,Oavgjort 27%,Vitesse vunnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Över 2.5 64% · Current selection Över