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NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

FC Den Bosch vs Vitesse

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.31 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Den BoschVitesse
Expected goals3.31Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 27% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbele Kans1273.4%1.36
Boven 64% · Onder 36%Goals 2.5Boven64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Den Bosch win37%2.70
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Vitesse win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Den Bosch1.66

Thuis share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals3.31Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 64% · Onder 36%

Vitesse1.65

Uit share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Den Bosch

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Vitesse

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.66
Expected goals
1.65
FC Den BoschVitesse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Den Bosch signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitesse signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Den Bosch vs Vitesse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Den Bosch gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 27%,Vitesse gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Boven 2.5 64% · Current selection Boven

FC Den Bosch vs Vitesse Prediction, Stats, Probabilities & Form | MatchFormula