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NLD Ολλανδία - Eerste Divisie · Αγώνας ·

Ντεν Μπος vs Φίτεσε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.31 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου37%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Ντεν ΜποςΦίτεσε
Expected goals3.31Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
37% / 27% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.4%1.36
Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%Goals 2.5Άνω64%1.56
Ναι 66% · Όχι 34%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66%1.52
3.31 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ντεν Μπος win37%2.70
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Φίτεσε win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ντεν Μπος1.66

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals3.31Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%

Φίτεσε1.65

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 66% · Όχι 34%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ντεν Μπος

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φίτεσε

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.66
Expected goals
1.65
Ντεν ΜποςΦίτεσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ντεν Μπος signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φίτεσε signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ντεν Μπος vs Φίτεσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ντεν Μπος νίκη 37%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Φίτεσε νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Άνω 2.5 64% · Current selection Άνω