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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Final ·

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score2–2Prognos 1–3
Borta form
Hemmaseger8%
Oavgjort17%
Bortaseger75%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 75% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger75% selection probability
Projected score1–3Estrela AmadoraSporting
Expected goals3.43Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
8% / 17% / 75%MatchresultatBortaseger75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (8.5%)DubbelchansX291.5%1.09
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
3.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapSporting winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora win8%12.5011.008.6%-0.6 pp
Oavgjort17%5.885.5017.2%-0.2 pp
Sporting win75%1.331.2774.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estrela Amadora0.72

Hemma share of expected goals 21%

Total expected goals3.43Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

Sporting2.71

Borta share of expected goals 79%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Estrela Amadora

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sporting

3.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poäng15

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
8%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
75%
5
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
2.71
Estrela AmadoraSporting
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estrela Amadora signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Estrela Amadora vs Sporting FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–3 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estrela Amadora vunnen 8%,Oavgjort 17%,Sporting vunnen 75%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över