Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
8% / 17% / 75%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (8.5%)Double chanceX291.5%1.09
Plus de 66% · Moins de 34%Goals 2.5Plus de66%1.52
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
3.43 total expected goalsScore exact1–3——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapSporting winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estrela Amadora win8%12.5011.008.6%-0.6 pp
Nul17%5.885.5017.2%-0.2 pp
Sporting win75%1.331.2774.3%+0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 21%
Total expected goals3.43Ouverture
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 66% · Moins de 34%
Extérieur share of expected goals 79%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileOuverture
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchEstrela Amadora
WDDLL
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchSporting
WWWWW
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
8%
Gagné probability excluding draw
75%5
Points from supplied form
150.72
Expected goals
2.71Estrela AmadoraSporting
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–3 · 75% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Estrela Amadora victoire 8%，Nul 17%，Sporting victoire 75%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.43 · Plus de 2.5 66% · Current selection Plus de。