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KOR Sydkorea - K-League 1 · Match ·

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger50%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
50% / 29% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gwangju FC win (21.5%)Dubbelchans1X78.5%1.27
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Båda lagen gör målNej61%1.64
2.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapBucheon FC 1995 winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bucheon FC 1995 win50%2.001.8548.8%+1.2 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Gwangju FC win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bucheon FC 19951.56

Hemma share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Gwangju FC0.68

Borta share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Bucheon FC 1995

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Gwangju FC

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalBorta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.68
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bucheon FC 1995 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gwangju FC signalBorta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bucheon FC 1995 vunnen 50%,Oavgjort 29%,Gwangju FC vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under