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KOR Corée du Sud - K League 1 · Match ·

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile50%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
50% / 29% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gwangju FC win (21.5%)Double chance1X78.5%1.27
Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%Goals 2.5Moins de61%1.64
Oui 39% · Non 61%Les deux équipes marquentNon61%1.64
2.24 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapBucheon FC 1995 winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bucheon FC 1995 win50%2.001.8548.8%+1.2 pp
Nul29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Gwangju FC win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bucheon FC 19951.56

Domicile share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%

Gwangju FC0.68

Extérieur share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 39% · Non 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Bucheon FC 1995

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Gwangju FC

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.68
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bucheon FC 1995 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gwangju FC signalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bucheon FC 1995 victoire 50%,Nul 29%,Gwangju FC victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Plus de 2.5 39% · Current selection Moins de