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SWE Švédsko - Allsvenskan · Zápas ·

Sirius vs Malmo FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–24.78 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich52%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí24%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich52% selection probability
Projected score3–2SiriusMalmo FF
Expected goals4.78Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac86% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno79% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
52% / 24% / 24%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dvojitá šanca1276.3%1.31
Viac 86% · Menej 14%Goals 2.5Viac86%1.16
Áno 79% · Nie 21%Oba tímy skórujúÁno79%1.27
4.78 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–2
10.5 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.2%Largest probability gapSirius winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirius win52%1.921.8050.9%+1.1 pp
Remíza24%4.173.7524.4%-0.4 pp
Malmo FF win24%4.173.7024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirius3.04

Domáci share of expected goals 63.6%

Total expected goals4.78Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 86% · Menej 14%

Malmo FF1.74

Hostia share of expected goals 36.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitÁno 79% · Nie 21%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Sirius

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Malmo FF

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Výhra probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
6
3.04
Expected goals
1.74
SiriusMalmo FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirius signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malmo FF signalHostia matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sirius vs Malmo FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirius výhra 52%,Remíza 24%,Malmo FF výhra 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.78 · Viac 2.5 86% · Current selection Viac