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SWE Suède - Allsvenskan · Match ·

Sirius vs Malmo FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–24.78 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile52%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile52% selection probability
Projected score3–2SiriusMalmo FF
Expected goals4.78Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de86% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui79% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
52% / 24% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Plus de 86% · Moins de 14%Goals 2.5Plus de86%1.16
Oui 79% · Non 21%Les deux équipes marquentOui79%1.27
4.78 total expected goalsScore exact3–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.2%Largest probability gapSirius winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirius win52%1.921.8050.9%+1.1 pp
Nul24%4.173.7524.4%-0.4 pp
Malmo FF win24%4.173.7024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirius3.04

Domicile share of expected goals 63.6%

Total expected goals4.78Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 86% · Moins de 14%

Malmo FF1.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 36.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitOui 79% · Non 21%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sirius

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Malmo FF

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
6
3.04
Expected goals
1.74
SiriusMalmo FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirius signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malmo FF signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sirius vs Malmo FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirius victoire 52%,Nul 24%,Malmo FF victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.78 · Plus de 2.5 86% · Current selection Plus de