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SWE Швеция - Аллсвенскан · Матч ·

Sirius vs Мальмё ФФ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–24.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев52%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев52% selection probability
Projected score3–2SiriusМальмё ФФ
Expected goals4.78Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше86% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа79% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
52% / 24% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Двойной шанс1276.3%1.31
Больше 86% · Меньше 14%Goals 2.5Больше86%1.16
Да 79% · Нет 21%Обе забьютДа79%1.27
4.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–2
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.2%Largest probability gapSirius winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sirius win52%1.921.8050.9%+1.1 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7524.4%-0.4 pp
Мальмё ФФ win24%4.173.7024.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sirius3.04

Хозяева share of expected goals 63.6%

Total expected goals4.78Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 86% · Меньше 14%

Мальмё ФФ1.74

Гости share of expected goals 36.4%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitДа 79% · Нет 21%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Sirius

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Мальмё ФФ

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
6
3.04
Expected goals
1.74
SiriusМальмё ФФ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sirius signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мальмё ФФ signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sirius vs Мальмё ФФ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sirius выигрыш 52%,Ничья 24%,Мальмё ФФ выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.78 · ТБ 2.5 86% · Current selection Больше