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BRA Brazil Serie A · Final ·

Gremio vs Sao Paulo

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score2–1Predpoveď 1–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich40%
Remíza31%
Výhra hostí30%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Úspešná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich40% selection probability
Projected score1–1GremioSao Paulo
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej59% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
40% / 31% / 30%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Paulo win (29.6%)Dvojitá šanca1X70.4%1.42
Viac 41% · Menej 59%Goals 2.5Menej59%1.69
Áno 47% · Nie 53%Oba tímy skórujúNie53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapGremio winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gremio win40%2.502.4039.6%+0.4 pp
Remíza31%3.233.1030.7%+0.3 pp
Sao Paulo win30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gremio1.30

Domáci share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 41% · Menej 59%

Sao Paulo1.02

Hostia share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 47% · Nie 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Gremio

0.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Výhra probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.30
Expected goals
1.02
GremioSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gremio signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Gremio vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gremio výhra 40%,Remíza 31%,Sao Paulo výhra 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Viac 2.5 41% · Current selection Menej