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BRA Brazil Serie A · Final ·

Gremio vs Sao Paulo

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score2–1Előrejelzés 1–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem40%
Döntetlen31%
Vendég győzelem30%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score1–1GremioSao Paulo
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt59% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
40% / 31% / 30%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Paulo win (29.6%)Dupla esély1X70.4%1.42
Felett 41% · Alatt 59%Goals 2.5Alatt59%1.69
Igen 47% · Nem 53%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapGremio winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gremio win40%2.502.4039.6%+0.4 pp
Döntetlen31%3.233.1030.7%+0.3 pp
Sao Paulo win30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gremio1.30

Hazai share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 41% · Alatt 59%

Sao Paulo1.02

Vendég share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 47% · Nem 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Gremio

0.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontok1

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Nyert probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.30
Expected goals
1.02
GremioSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gremio signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalVendég matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Gremio vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gremio nyer 40%,Döntetlen 31%,Sao Paulo nyer 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · 2.5 felett 41% · Current selection Alatt