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BRA Brazil Serie A · Final ·

Gremio vs Sao Paulo

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score2–1Πρόβλεψη 1–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1GremioSao Paulo
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω59% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 31% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Paulo win (29.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.4%1.42
Άνω 41% · Κάτω 59%Goals 2.5Κάτω59%1.69
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapGremio winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gremio win40%2.502.4039.6%+0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία31%3.233.1030.7%+0.3 pp
Sao Paulo win30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gremio1.30

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 41% · Κάτω 59%

Sao Paulo1.02

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Gremio

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.30
Expected goals
1.02
GremioSao Paulo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gremio signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Gremio vs Sao Paulo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gremio νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Sao Paulo νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Άνω 2.5 41% · Current selection Κάτω