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MOZ Mozambique Mocambola · Round 9 ·

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich46%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí27%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácichTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich46% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej58% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
46% / 27% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviario de Nampula win (26.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X73.1%1.37
Viac 42% · Menej 58%Goals 2.5Menej58%1.72
Áno 46% · Nie 54%Oba tímy skórujúNie54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
CD Maxaquene win46%2.17
Remíza27%3.70
Ferroviario de Nampula win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Maxaquene1.36

Domáci share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 42% · Menej 58%

Ferroviario de Nampula0.98

Hostia share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

CD Maxaquene

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Ferroviario de Nampula

1.25pts / match
Odohrané4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Body5

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Maxaquene signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviario de Nampula signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Maxaquene výhra 46%,Remíza 27%,Ferroviario de Nampula výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Viac 2.5 42% · Current selection Menej