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MOZ Mozambique Mocambola · Round 9 ·

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw31%
Away win40%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 31% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Maxaquene win (29.2%)Double chanceX270.8%1.41
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Maxaquene win29%3.453.2527.5%
Draw31%3.232.9030.9%
Ferroviario de Nampula win40%2.502.1541.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Maxaquene1.10

Home share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Ferroviario de Nampula1.19

Away share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CD Maxaquene

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ferroviario de Nampula

1.25pts / match
Played4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.10
Expected goals
1.19
CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Maxaquene signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviario de Nampula signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Maxaquene win 29%,Draw 31%,Ferroviario de Nampula win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under