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MOZ Мозамбик - Мокамбола · Round 9 ·

ФК Машакене vs Ферровиарио де Нампула

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей27%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК МашакенеФерровиарио де Нампула
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 27% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ферровиарио де Нампула win (26.9%)Двойной шанс1X73.1%1.37
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Машакене win46%2.17
Ничья27%3.70
Ферровиарио де Нампула win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Машакене1.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

Ферровиарио де Нампула0.98

Гости share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Машакене

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ферровиарио де Нампула

1.25pts / match
Сыграно4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Баллы5

SignalНет recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
ФК МашакенеФерровиарио де Нампула
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Машакене signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ферровиарио де Нампула signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

ФК Машакене vs Ферровиарио де Нампула FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Машакене выигрыш 46%,Ничья 27%,Ферровиарио де Нампула выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше