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MOZ Mozambique - Mocambola · Round 9 ·

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr46%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr27%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr46% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
46% / 27% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviario de Nampula win (26.9%)Dobbeltchance1X73.1%1.37
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Begge hold scorerNej54%1.85
2.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CD Maxaquene win46%2.17
Uafgjort27%3.70
Ferroviario de Nampula win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Maxaquene1.36

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Ferroviario de Nampula0.98

Ude share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CD Maxaquene

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Ferroviario de Nampula

1.25pts / match
Spillet4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Point5

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.98
CD MaxaqueneFerroviario de Nampula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Maxaquene signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviario de Nampula signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Maxaquene vundet 46%,Uafgjort 27%,Ferroviario de Nampula vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under