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ISL Исландия - 3-й дивизион · Round 19 ·

Арбэр vs KA Асвеллир

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.72 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей39%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score2–2АрбэрKA Асвеллир
Expected goals3.72Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 21% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Двойной шанс1278.7%1.27
Больше 72% · Меньше 28%Goals 2.5Больше72%1.39
Да 71% · Нет 29%Обе забьютДа71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
12.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Арбэр win39%2.562.3038.9%
Ничья21%4.764.2021.3%
KA Асвеллир win39%2.562.2539.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Арбэр1.89

Хозяева share of expected goals 50.8%

Total expected goals3.72Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 72% · Меньше 28%

KA Асвеллир1.83

Гости share of expected goals 49.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 71% · Нет 29%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Арбэр

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

KA Асвеллир

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.89
Expected goals
1.83
АрбэрKA Асвеллир
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Арбэр signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Асвеллир signalГости matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Арбэр vs KA Асвеллир FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Арбэр выигрыш 39%,Ничья 21%,KA Асвеллир выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · ТБ 2.5 72% · Current selection Больше