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ISL Iceland 3 Deild · Round 19 ·

FC Arbaer vs KA Asvellir

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.72 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier39%
Uavgjort21%
Borteseier39%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier39% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC ArbaerKA Asvellir
Expected goals3.72Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
39% / 21% / 39%KampresultatHjemmeseier39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Dobbel sjanse1278.7%1.27
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nei 29%Begge lag scorerJa71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
12.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arbaer win39%2.562.3038.9%
Uavgjort21%4.764.2021.3%
KA Asvellir win39%2.562.2539.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arbaer1.89

Hjemme share of expected goals 50.8%

Total expected goals3.72Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

KA Asvellir1.83

Borte share of expected goals 49.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nei 29%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Arbaer

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

KA Asvellir

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
39%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.89
Expected goals
1.83
FC ArbaerKA Asvellir
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arbaer signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Asvellir signalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Arbaer vs KA Asvellir FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arbaer vunnet 39%,Uavgjort 21%,KA Asvellir vunnet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over