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ISL Island - 3. Deild · Round 19 ·

FC Árbaer vs KA Asvellir

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.72 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg39%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC ÁrbaerKA Asvellir
Expected goals3.72Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 21% / 39%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Doppelte Chance1278.7%1.27
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
12.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Árbaer win39%2.562.3038.9%
Unentschieden21%4.764.2021.3%
KA Asvellir win39%2.562.2539.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Árbaer1.89

Heim share of expected goals 50.8%

Total expected goals3.72Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

KA Asvellir1.83

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Árbaer

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

KA Asvellir

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
39%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.89
Expected goals
1.83
FC ÁrbaerKA Asvellir
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Árbaer signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Asvellir signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Árbaer vs KA Asvellir FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Árbaer Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 21%,KA Asvellir Gewinn 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über