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INT Ирак - Премьер-лига · Final ·

Аль-Карх vs Эрбиль

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей46%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Аль-КархЭрбиль
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 30% / 46%Исход матчаПобеда гостей46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Аль-Карх win (24.7%)Двойной шансX275.3%1.33
Больше 40% · Меньше 60%Goals 2.5Меньше60%1.67
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
2.29 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
7.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Аль-Карх win25%4.00
Ничья30%3.33
Эрбиль win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аль-Карх0.83

Хозяева share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 40% · Меньше 60%

Эрбиль1.46

Гости share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аль-Карх

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Эрбиль

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
13
0.83
Expected goals
1.46
Аль-КархЭрбиль
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аль-Карх signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Эрбиль signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Аль-Карх vs Эрбиль FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аль-Карх выигрыш 25%,Ничья 30%,Эрбиль выигрыш 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · ТБ 2.5 40% · Current selection Меньше